Principles of Economics

Here at Brown University, our Econ 101 course is actually numbered EC0110 and is called "Principles of Economics". Like a lot of introductory undergraduate-level economics courses, it uses Greg Mankiw's book of the same name. What is a principle of economics? Here's the list that Mankiw suggests in the book:

1. People Face Tradeoffs
2. The Cost of Something is What You Give Up to Get It
3. Rational People Think at the Margin
4. People Respond to Incentives
5. Trade Can Make Everyone Better Off
6. Markets Are Usually a Good Way to Organize Economic Activity
7. Governments Can Sometimes Improve Market Outcomes
8. A Country's Standard of Living Depends on Its Ability to Produce Goods and Services
9. Prices Rise When the Government Prints Too Much Money
10. Society Faces a Short-Run Tradeoff Between Inflation and Unemployment

Are these principles? I cannot square any of 5 through 10 with any definition of "principle"; those are, at best, positive economic results (not to be too facetious, but by 10 I think many students must be asleep). A principle, to me, is something that you hold as a fundamental truth, before, during and after you do anything. I see the logic in writing a list that looks like this: it summarizes a lot of the "received wisdom" in our discipline.

That, however, is exactly the problem. How can I teach an anti-capitalist student economics if my first lesson says "Markets Are Usually a Good Way to Organize Economic Activity"? "Good" is a normative judgment; the statement is loaded with value and intent. It's a huge result built on so many layers of qualifications that I couldn't possibly say it with a straight face. It's not possible to sell economics as scientific and flexible if we recite dogma in lesson one. Economics is not capitalism. Maybe that should be a principle.

I should probably make some kind of attempt to define "principles" as I see them.

1. Economics tries to describe and predict things about the world around us.
2. Economics is divided into value-free positive method (what will happen, or how do I achieve a particular goal) and normative opinion (what ought to be done). It can inform debate through the former, but cannot settle it, because there are no right or wrong opinions.
3. Economists assume people act as if they try to get their preferred outcome of the ones that are available, but they don't restrict what people's preferences are.
4. Positive economics uses simplified models or empirical observation to describe or predict what will happen, and must never make value judgments. We can try to interpret the validity of positive results by testing them against real-world data or by figuring out what would happen if we made different simplifying assumptions.

I'm just thinking (typing?) out loud, and certainly a more thoughtful attempt would be justified. My "list" is certainly less snappy, that's for sure. In general, though, I really believe that "principles" should describe the foundations of economics, not its received wisdom. The foundations of economics can accommodate everyone, not just those who would find themselves nodding agreement at a statement like "A Country's Standard of Living Depends on Its Ability to Produce Goods and Services". With no exaggeration, I can say this is like opening Music 101 with a list of principles that includes "Only Rock Music Is Good Music" or something equally ridiculous. It is heartbreaking.

Rather delightfully, this list of "Principles of Feminist Economics" - again, I must confess, I don't often see how "[blank] economics" is distinct from "economics", especially since the [blank] is usually a value judgment - is, despite dripping with normative statement, actually more palatable to me than Mankiw's list. At a bare minimum, looking at them side by side reveals how neither of them can possibly be considered "principles of economics". I'm sure mine can't either, but you get the point: I think a minimum requirement for a list of principles is that they be basic and as agreeable as possible to the people who care.

I applaud the goals of this page entitled "Great Ideas For Teaching Economics", even if a few of them are really more "how to get people interested". Allow me to quote at length this contribution from Hugh Himan:

"For a number of years I have devoted 6-9 class meetings in the Principles of Economics course to class debates on current economic issues.

Objectives:

1) to acquaint students with the reality that economists as well as people in general do not think alike on economic issues;

2) to have students realize that disagreements on issues reflect both different positive economic views (cause and effect) as well as normative difference (values)

3) to challenge their own thinking about economic issues

4) to have each student experience through a debate on the beliefs and values of the three major paradigms of Conservative, Liberal and Radical.

The debates are evaluated by the students and instructor on the basis of specific criteria with final scores tabulated on a 100 point scale. The evaluations are based upon how well the team presented their assigned position, not whether the evaluator agrees or disagrees with that particular paradigm.

It has been my experience that the students truly get involved with these debates, well beyond the proportion of the final grade their scores represent. Most enjoy the role playing, some even dressing as they think a Conservative, Liberal or Radical would appear.

Beyond the enjoyment many experience, I like to think that they have gained deep insight into issues i.e., that problems can be viewed differently based upon one's belief as to “truth” causes and effects as well as on the basis of values (no good vs. bad but in terms of relative priorities). For so many students I have taught over the years who tend to think there are single, simple answers to such problems as poverty, unemployment, national defense, acid rain, exposure to the complexity of such issues is important to their education."

This is, indeed, a great idea. Is there a better way of understanding the very concept of normative judgment than to force students to debate from all sides? I think it might be fun to ask students to shout out anything they can think of, and to write down an "economic model" that proves it. This really invites students to think of 1) how flexible positive economics is, 2) the importance of assumptions, 3) how to judge an economic theory, and 4) the role of normative opinion.

We need all three levels of understanding in economics: positive, value-free, empty economic science; interpreting whether the positive results are correct, either empirically or by exploring the implications of alternative assumptions; normative, value-laden opinion. Exercises that can explore these distinctions are the most valuable in our teaching arsenal. A list of "principles" pregnant with loaded statements is not the right way to present our discipline.

Unreal

As someone who laments misperceptions of what economists are and do, the barriers to communication with anti-capitalist groups make me very sad indeed. How did I get there? I was looking for something entirely different when I stopped to read an article by Roy Weintraub talking about neoclassical economics. To someone with my beliefs in what economics is, it's a bit schizophrenic. This is nice:

"Neoclassical economics is what is called a metatheory. That is, it is a set of implicit rules or understandings for constructing satisfactory economic theories. It is a scientific research program that generates economic theories."

This is pretty good news: the beast called "neoclassical economics" is merely a box inside which we concoct scientific theories: inside our box, this would lead to that. Weintraub continues to say that the assumptions of neoclassical economics

"include the following:

1. People have rational preferences among outcomes. 2. Individuals maximize utility and firms maximize profits. 3. People act independently on the basis of full and relevant information."

Of these, 1 is redundant to me because I think rationality is not testable and is therefore irrelevant, especially since it's probably implied by 2, and 3 is at best outdated (economists these days are very interested in the implications of imperfect or asymmetric information). If I was pressed to define neoclassical economics, I think perhaps the definition I would use is similar to 2. I'd say that neoclassical economics is the branch of economics that models entities (individuals, firms, governments, etc) as if they try to get the outcome they like best from the ones that are available.

I disagree more with the stance of the article when Weibtraub repeatedly invokes "the neoclassical vision". The connotations of this phrase probably reinforce the misconception that economists think the box in which neoclassical economics works obeys the same rules as the real world. I doubt a physicist thinks that a vacuum is the same as the real world, just as I doubt that any economist thinks that the abstractions of economic modeling are the same as the real world.

It's true that a positive economist who seeks to explore "what is" should not neglect to examine the differences between abstraction and reality, but again we must ask at what point the value of realism is eroded by its inability to draw any conclusions. I think the real choice we're faced with is the application of the economic method that says "if this unrealistic simplification, then that" versus a shrug of the shoulders; if it were possible to achieve the ideal "if this, then that", who would reject it? Should we stop trying because we can't be perfect?

Perhaps partly because of such confusions, "neoclassical economics", aside from having a silly name, seems to have become something of a lightning rod for the anti-capitalist set as much as it is for economists with different ideas. Google neoclassical economics and you get - on page one - a page from adbusters (an anti-consumerist publication - Wikipedia entry), and a less histrionic "critique of neoclassical economics" by Herb Thompson.

"Neoclassical economists normally treat economic instability as the effect of exogenous, stochastic factors even though nonlinear economics suggests that what may previously have been considered exogenous, or random, may more likely be endogenous to capitalist social formations."

I confess I'm not sure what "nonlinear economics" means (the almighty Google was inconclusive): clearly I, too, have been indoctrinated to the neoclassical cabal. However, I actually think that the quotation touches on an interesting idea. Can we figure out if the primacy of money as a measurement of outcomes "caused" the rise of the capitalist method of organizing resources, or if the capitalist method "caused" the rise of the primacy of money?

A difficult one. For example, to take a typical example of an anti-capitalist complaint, do people buy sweatshop goods because they don't know they're sweatshop goods or because they care more about cheap goods than where they came from? I think the latter is more consistent with "money primacy leads to capitalism" and the former is more consistent with "capitalism leads to money primacy", although I'm sure that could be debated.

It is possible to imagine that incorrect normatization of positive economics - by which I mean the mistaken assumption that some measurable positive economic variable is a measure of the quality of an outcome - actually causes problems within the economic system. People will do what they will, but if a policymaker chooses a policy based on the primacy of money as a measure of the quality of an outcome, there's a real possibility that the system itself is influenced by its measurement.

The Thompson article also includes the following excellent paragraph:

"The 'rational' consumer of the mainstream economist is a working assumption that was meant to free economists from dependence on psychology.... The dilemma is that the assumption of rationality as intertemporally optimising is often confused with, and regularly presented as, real, purposive behaviour. In fact, the living consumer in historical time routinely makes decisions in undefined contexts. They muddle through, they adapt, they copy, they try what worked in the past, they gamble, they take uncalculated risks, they engage in costly altruistic activities, and regularly make unpredictable, even unexplainable, decisions."

First of all, this is crucially wrong: "rationality" is not something that can ever be more than an assumption, unless you think you can test it. Further, assuming rationality does not exclude any of the motivations Thompson talks about. It would be trivial to write down a model of a rational person who "engaged in costly altruistic activities" - I simply have the person care about others and optimize rationally. The assumption that Thompson is really discussing here is the straw man of "rationality equals maximizes money", which I have previously argued is absolutely not an assumption of any economic theory, neoclassical or otherwise.

Beyond that, this is really back to the same problem that the Weibtraub article was getting at: we're doing the "if this unrealistic simplification, then that". There's a strong push in so-called "behavioral economics" to figure out if there's a workable way to first make realistic generalizations on how people behave and second to incorporate them into the unrealistic simplification of neoclassical economics. While that goes on, the economist who seeks to defend his method must be clear on what his unrealistic simplification actually is and what it is used for.

As usual, no-one is fit to judge if the anti-capitalist model is "better" than the capitalist status quo, but I greatly hope that we would be able to talk about what each would mean. If somehow I were able to convince adbusters to sit down with me and I asked them what they wanted to do and what they wanted to achieve, what might they reply? I don't know what they would say, but whatever their answer, I would like to figure out what it would take to achieve their goals, what the consequences of their chosen actions would be, what it would mean for people, not just them or me. I hope they would like to figure that out too. That's positive economics.